The model estimates 0.90 goals for Fatima and 1.33 for Os Marialvas. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Fatima and 6 for Os Marialvas, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Os Marialvas · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Fatima is going head to head with Os Marialvas on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 16.
Fatima take on Os Marialvas in the Campeonato de Portugal on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Fatima are currently placed 39th in the table with 5 points, while Os Marialvas occupy 6th position with 13 points.
Fatima come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Os Marialvas have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, Os Marialvas have 3 wins against Fatima.
Prediction: Os Marialvas to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.23. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 45%.
FATOS FATOS FATOS FATOS FATOS FATOS FATOS FATOS FATOS Fatima have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Fatima's last 6 matches.
Fatima score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Os Marialvas have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Os Marialvas have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Os Marialvas's last 6 matches.
