The model estimates 1.68 goals for Malveira and 1.35 for Fatima. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Malveira and 6 for Fatima, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fatima · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Malveira is going head to head with Fatima on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 15.
Malveira take on Fatima in the Campeonato de Portugal on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Malveira are currently placed 27th in the table with 8 points, while Fatima occupy 39th position with 5 points.
Malveira come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fatima have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Fatima have 1 win against Malveira.
Prediction: Malveira to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.03. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 62%.




In their last 6 matches, Malveira have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Malveira have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Malveira concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Fatima have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Fatima's last 6 matches.
Fatima score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.