European FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sEuropean FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sThe model estimates 1.15 goals for Excelsior and 1.72 for AZ Alkmaar. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Excelsior and 6 for AZ Alkmaar, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AZ Alkmaar · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Excelsior is going head to head with AZ Alkmaar on December 20, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 17.
Excelsior take on AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie on 20 December 2026 at 19:00.
Excelsior are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while AZ Alkmaar occupy 5th position with 20 points.
Excelsior come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AZ Alkmaar have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 53 recorded meetings, AZ Alkmaar have 28 wins against Excelsior, with 15 draws.
Prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.87. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 58%.
EXCAZ EXCAZ EXCAZ EXCAZ EXCAZ EXCAZ EXCAZ EXCAZ EXCAZ Excelsior have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Excelsior's last 6 matches.
Excelsior have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AZ Alkmaar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AZ Alkmaar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of AZ Alkmaar's last 6 matches.
