The model estimates 1.42 goals for Excelsior and 1.71 for Sittard. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Excelsior and 6 for Sittard, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sittard · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Excelsior is going head to head with Sittard on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 20.
Excelsior take on Sittard in the Eredivisie on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Excelsior are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while Sittard occupy 6th position with 18 points.
Excelsior come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sittard have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Sittard have 1 win against Excelsior.
Prediction: Sittard to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.12. Over 2.5: 60%. BTTS: 63%.




Excelsior have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Excelsior's last 6 matches.
Excelsior have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sittard have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Sittard's last 6 matches.
Sittard score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.