The model estimates 1.71 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.73 for Excelsior. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sparta Rotterdam and 6 for Excelsior, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sparta Rotterdam · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sparta Rotterdam is going head to head with Excelsior on January 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 18.
Sparta Rotterdam take on Excelsior in the Eredivisie on 9 January 2027 at 00:00.
Sparta Rotterdam are currently placed 13th in the table with 9 points, while Excelsior occupy 12th position with 10 points.
Sparta Rotterdam come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Excelsior have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 57 recorded meetings, Sparta Rotterdam have 27 wins against Excelsior, with 11 draws.
Prediction: Sparta Rotterdam to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.44. Over 2.5: 67%. BTTS: 69%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Sparta Rotterdam's last 6 matches.
Sparta Rotterdam have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Sparta Rotterdam's last 6 matches.
Excelsior have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Excelsior's last 6 matches.
Excelsior have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.