The model estimates 1.88 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.10 for Utrecht. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AZ Alkmaar and 6 for Utrecht, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AZ Alkmaar · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AZ Alkmaar is going head to head with Utrecht on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 20.
AZ Alkmaar take on Utrecht in the Eredivisie on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
AZ Alkmaar are currently placed 5th in the table with 20 points, while Utrecht occupy 14th position with 8 points.
AZ Alkmaar come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Utrecht have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 97 recorded meetings, AZ Alkmaar have 44 wins against Utrecht, with 19 draws.
Prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.98. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 58%.




In their last 6 matches, AZ Alkmaar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AZ Alkmaar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of AZ Alkmaar's last 6 matches.
Utrecht have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Utrecht's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Utrecht's last 6 matches.