The model estimates 1.44 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.31 for Heerenveen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AZ Alkmaar and 6 for Heerenveen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AZ Alkmaar · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AZ Alkmaar is going head to head with Heerenveen on January 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 18.
AZ Alkmaar take on Heerenveen in the Eredivisie on 9 January 2027 at 00:00.
AZ Alkmaar are currently placed 5th in the table with 20 points, while Heerenveen occupy 7th position with 15 points.
AZ Alkmaar come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Heerenveen have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 70 recorded meetings, AZ Alkmaar have 32 wins against Heerenveen, with 14 draws.
Prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.75. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 57%.
AZ HEEAZ HEEAZ HEEAZ HEEAZ HEEAZ HEEAZ HEEAZ HEEAZ HEEIn their last 6 matches, AZ Alkmaar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AZ Alkmaar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of AZ Alkmaar's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Heerenveen have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Heerenveen's last 6 matches.
Heerenveen have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
