The model estimates 1.01 goals for Excelsior and 2.50 for Feyenoord. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Excelsior and 6 for Feyenoord, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Feyenoord · 60%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Excelsior is going head to head with Feyenoord on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 19.
Excelsior take on Feyenoord in the Eredivisie on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Excelsior are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while Feyenoord occupy 1st position with 24 points.
Excelsior come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Feyenoord have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 51 recorded meetings, Feyenoord have 44 wins against Excelsior, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Feyenoord to win with probability 60%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.51. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 59%.




Excelsior have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Excelsior's last 6 matches.
Excelsior have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Feyenoord are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Feyenoord have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Feyenoord have won 5 of their last 6 matches.