The model estimates 0.97 goals for Chaves and 1.43 for União Torreense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chaves and 6 for União Torreense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: União Torreense · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chaves is going head to head with União Torreense on December 27, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Liga Portugal 2 — Round 16.
Chaves take on União Torreense in the Liga Portugal 2 on 27 December 2026 at 19:00.
Chaves are currently placed 15th in the table with 8 points, while União Torreense occupy 12th position with 10 points.
Chaves come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas União Torreense have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: União Torreense to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.41. Over 2.5: 43%. BTTS: 49%.




Chaves have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Chaves's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Chaves's last 6 matches.
União Torreense have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, União Torreense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.