The model estimates 1.99 goals for Alcorcón and 0.77 for Rayo Majadahonda. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alcorcón and 6 for Rayo Majadahonda, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alcorcón · 58%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alcorcón is going head to head with Rayo Majadahonda on December 20, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 17.
Alcorcón take on Rayo Majadahonda in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 20 December 2026 at 19:00.
Alcorcón are currently placed 7th in the table with 18 points, while Rayo Majadahonda occupy 39th position with 7 points.
Alcorcón come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Rayo Majadahonda have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, Alcorcón have 4 wins against Rayo Majadahonda, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Alcorcón to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.75. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 47%.




In their last 6 matches, Alcorcón have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Alcorcón have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alcorcón's last 6 matches.
Rayo Majadahonda have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Rayo Majadahonda have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Rayo Majadahonda's last 6 matches.