The model estimates 1.67 goals for Gimnastic and 1.49 for Alcorcón. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Gimnastic and 6 for Alcorcón, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alcorcón · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Gimnastic is going head to head with Alcorcón on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 20.
Gimnastic take on Alcorcón in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Gimnastic are currently placed 12th in the table with 14 points, while Alcorcón occupy 10th position with 14 points.
Gimnastic come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alcorcón have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Alcorcón have 1 win against Gimnastic.
Prediction: Gimnastic to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.16. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 64%.


There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Gimnastic's last 6 matches.
Gimnastic have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Gimnastic's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alcorcón have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Alcorcón's last 6 matches.
Alcorcón score an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.