The model estimates 1.51 goals for Alcorcón and 1.07 for Jaen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alcorcón and 6 for Jaen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alcorcón · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alcorcón is going head to head with Jaen on November 08, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 11.
Alcorcón take on Jaen in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 8 November 2026 at 19:00.
Alcorcón are currently placed 10th in the table with 14 points, while Jaen occupy 5th position with 16 points.
Alcorcón come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jaen have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Alcorcón to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.58. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 53%.




In their last 6 matches, Alcorcón have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Alcorcón's last 6 matches.
Alcorcón score an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Jaen have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Jaen have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Jaen's last 6 matches.