The model estimates 1.82 goals for Alaves and 1.74 for Real Sociedad. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alaves and 6 for Real Sociedad, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alaves · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alaves is going head to head with Real Sociedad on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 19.
Alaves take on Real Sociedad in the LaLiga on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Alaves are currently placed 12th in the table with 13 points, while Real Sociedad occupy 5th position with 22 points.
Alaves come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Real Sociedad have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Alaves have 1 win against Real Sociedad, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Alaves to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.56. Over 2.5: 69%. BTTS: 70%.




Alaves have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alaves's last 6 matches.
Alaves concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Real Sociedad have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Real Sociedad have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Real Sociedad's last 6 matches.