The model estimates 1.22 goals for Alaves and 2.81 for Barcelona. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alaves and 6 for Barcelona, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Barcelona · 59%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alaves is going head to head with Barcelona on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 21.
Alaves take on Barcelona in the LaLiga on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Alaves are currently placed 8th in the table with 12 points, while Barcelona occupy 1st position with 27 points.
Alaves come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Barcelona have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Alaves have 1 win against Barcelona.
Prediction: Barcelona to win with probability 59%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.03. Over 2.5: 77%. BTTS: 67%.




Alaves have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Alaves have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alaves's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Barcelona's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Barcelona have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Barcelona have won 5 of their last 6 matches.