The model estimates 1.81 goals for Aston Villa and 0.92 for Sunderland. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Aston Villa and 6 for Sunderland, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Aston Villa · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Aston Villa is going head to head with Sunderland on November 21, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 11.
Aston Villa take on Sunderland in the Premier League on 21 November 2026 at 15:00.
Aston Villa are currently placed 9th in the table with 11 points, while Sunderland occupy 20th position with 5 points.
Aston Villa come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sunderland have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 144 recorded meetings, Aston Villa have 62 wins against Sunderland, with 39 draws.
Prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.72. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 52%.
ASTSUNASTSUNASTSUNASTSUNASTSUNASTSUNASTSUNASTSUNASTSUNThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aston Villa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sunderland have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Sunderland have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sunderland's last 6 matches.
