The model estimates 2.10 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 0.92 for Paderborn. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bayer Leverkusen and 6 for Paderborn, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bayer Leverkusen · 59%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bayer Leverkusen is going head to head with Paderborn on November 21, 2026 at 14:30. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 10.
Bayer Leverkusen take on Paderborn in the Bundesliga on 21 November 2026 at 14:30.
Bayer Leverkusen are currently placed 4th in the table with 13 points, while Paderborn occupy 14th position with 8 points.
Bayer Leverkusen come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Paderborn have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, Bayer Leverkusen have 6 wins against Paderborn, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen to win with probability 59%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.01. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 54%.




In their last 6 matches, Bayer Leverkusen have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 6 matches.
Bayer Leverkusen have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Paderborn have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Paderborn have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.
Paderborn have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 away matches.