The model estimates 1.50 goals for Zwolle and 1.56 for Excelsior. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Zwolle and 6 for Excelsior, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Zwolle · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Zwolle is going head to head with Excelsior on December 13, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 16.
Zwolle take on Excelsior in the Eredivisie on 13 December 2026 at 19:00.
Zwolle are currently placed 15th in the table with 8 points, while Excelsior occupy 12th position with 10 points.
Zwolle come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Excelsior have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Zwolle to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.05. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 63%.




Zwolle have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Zwolle's last 6 matches.
Zwolle concede an average of 2.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Excelsior have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Excelsior's last 6 matches.
Excelsior have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.