The model estimates 2.95 goals for PSV and 0.98 for Zwolle. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for PSV and 6 for Zwolle, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: PSV · 70%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
PSV is going head to head with Zwolle on December 20, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 17.
PSV take on Zwolle in the Eredivisie on 20 December 2026 at 19:00.
PSV are currently placed 4th in the table with 20 points, while Zwolle occupy 15th position with 8 points.
PSV come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Zwolle have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: PSV to win with probability 68%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.93. Over 2.5: 75%. BTTS: 60%.




PSV have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of PSV's last 6 matches.
PSV are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated home matches.
Zwolle have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Zwolle's last 6 matches.
Zwolle concede an average of 2.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.