The model estimates 1.34 goals for Zarzis and 1.02 for Etoile Sahel. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Zarzis and 6 for Etoile Sahel, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Zarzis · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Zarzis is going head to head with Etoile Sahel on December 19, 2026 at 19:30. This match is part of Ligue Professionnelle 1 — Round 12.
Zarzis take on Etoile Sahel in the Ligue Professionnelle 1 on 19 December 2026 at 19:30.
Zarzis are currently placed 12th in the table with 6 points, while Etoile Sahel occupy 11th position with 8 points.
Zarzis come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Etoile Sahel have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Zarzis to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.36. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 49%.




Zarzis have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Zarzis have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Zarzis's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Etoile Sahel have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Etoile Sahel have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Etoile Sahel's last 6 matches.