The model estimates 1.23 goals for Etoile Sahel and 1.65 for Ben Guerdane. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Etoile Sahel and 6 for Ben Guerdane, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ben Guerdane · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Etoile Sahel is going head to head with Ben Guerdane on December 26, 2026 at 19:30. This match is part of Ligue Professionnelle 1 — Round 13.
Etoile Sahel take on Ben Guerdane in the Ligue Professionnelle 1 on 26 December 2026 at 19:30.
Etoile Sahel are currently placed 11th in the table with 7 points, while Ben Guerdane occupy 1st position with 14 points.
Etoile Sahel come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ben Guerdane have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Ben Guerdane to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.88. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 59%.




Etoile Sahel have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Etoile Sahel's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Etoile Sahel's last 6 home matches.
Ben Guerdane are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ben Guerdane have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Ben Guerdane have won 4 of their last 6 matches.