The model estimates 0.94 goals for UP Plasencia and 1.43 for Castuera. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for UP Plasencia and 6 for Castuera, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Castuera · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
UP Plasencia is going head to head with Castuera on February 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 21.
UP Plasencia take on Castuera in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 7 February 2027 at 00:00.
UP Plasencia are currently placed 16th in the table with 7 points, while Castuera occupy 5th position with 16 points.
UP Plasencia come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Castuera have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, UP Plasencia have 6 wins against Castuera, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Castuera to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.37. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 48%.




UP Plasencia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, UP Plasencia have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of UP Plasencia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Castuera have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Castuera have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Castuera have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.