The model estimates 1.38 goals for Castuera and 1.05 for Moralo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Castuera and 6 for Moralo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Castuera · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Castuera is going head to head with Moralo on February 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 24.
Castuera take on Moralo in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 28 February 2027 at 00:00.
Castuera are currently placed 5th in the table with 13 points, while Moralo occupy 2nd position with 18 points.
Castuera come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Moralo have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 11 recorded meetings, Moralo have 7 wins against Castuera, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Castuera to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.43. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 50%.
CASCASCASCASCASCASCASCASCASIn their last 6 matches, Castuera have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Castuera have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Castuera score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Moralo are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Moralo have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Moralo's last 6 matches.
