The model estimates 1.77 goals for Toyama and 0.77 for Sagan Tosu. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Toyama and 6 for Sagan Tosu, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Toyama · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Toyama is going head to head with Sagan Tosu on March 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of J2 League — Round 28.
Toyama take on Sagan Tosu in the J2 League on 20 March 2027 at 00:00.
Toyama are currently placed 16th in the table with 0 points, while Sagan Tosu occupy 11th position with 0 points.
Toyama come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sagan Tosu have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 11 recorded meetings, Toyama have 4 wins against Sagan Tosu, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Toyama to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.53. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 46%.
TOYSAGTOYSAGTOYSAGTOYSAGTOYSAGTOYSAGTOYSAGTOYSAGTOYSAGIn their last 6 matches, Toyama have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Toyama have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Toyama score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Sagan Tosu have won only 1 of their last 6 away matches.
Sagan Tosu have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Sagan Tosu's last 6 away matches.
