The model estimates 1.23 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 0.73 for Sagan Tosu. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Shonan Bellmare and 6 for Sagan Tosu, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Shonan Bellmare · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Shonan Bellmare is going head to head with Sagan Tosu on November 03, 2026 at 08:00. This match is part of J2 League — Round 15.
Shonan Bellmare take on Sagan Tosu in the J2 League on 3 November 2026 at 08:00.
Shonan Bellmare are currently placed 5th in the table with 22 points, while Sagan Tosu occupy 10th position with 17 points.
Shonan Bellmare come into this match with 2 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sagan Tosu have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 63 recorded meetings, Shonan Bellmare have 29 wins against Sagan Tosu, with 18 draws.
Prediction: Shonan Bellmare to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.96. Over 2.5: 31%. BTTS: 38%.




Shonan Bellmare are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Shonan Bellmare have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Shonan Bellmare's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sagan Tosu's last 6 matches.
Sagan Tosu have won only 0 of their last 6 away matches.
Sagan Tosu have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.