The model estimates 1.25 goals for Sunderland and 1.60 for Aston Villa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sunderland and 6 for Aston Villa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Aston Villa · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sunderland is going head to head with Aston Villa on February 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 24.
Sunderland take on Aston Villa in the Premier League on 6 February 2027 at 00:00.
Sunderland are currently placed 20th in the table with 5 points, while Aston Villa occupy 10th position with 12 points.
Sunderland come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Aston Villa have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 144 recorded meetings, Aston Villa have 62 wins against Sunderland, with 39 draws.
Prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.86. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 59%.




Sunderland have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sunderland's last 6 matches.
Sunderland have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aston Villa have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.