The model estimates 1.63 goals for Aston Villa and 1.34 for Bournemouth. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Aston Villa and 6 for Bournemouth, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Aston Villa · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Aston Villa is going head to head with Bournemouth on February 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 25.
Aston Villa take on Bournemouth in the Premier League on 10 February 2027 at 00:00.
Aston Villa are currently placed 9th in the table with 11 points, while Bournemouth occupy 13th position with 9 points.
Aston Villa come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bournemouth have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 14 recorded meetings, Aston Villa have 6 wins against Bournemouth, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.97. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 61%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aston Villa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bournemouth have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Bournemouth's last 6 matches.
Bournemouth have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.