The model estimates 1.77 goals for Utrecht and 1.47 for Excelsior. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Utrecht and 6 for Excelsior, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Utrecht · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Utrecht is going head to head with Excelsior on January 31, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 21.
Utrecht take on Excelsior in the Eredivisie on 31 January 2027 at 00:00.
Utrecht are currently placed 14th in the table with 8 points, while Excelsior occupy 12th position with 10 points.
Utrecht come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Excelsior have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 53 recorded meetings, Utrecht have 35 wins against Excelsior, with 13 draws.
Prediction: Utrecht to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.23. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 65%.




Utrecht have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Utrecht's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Utrecht's last 6 matches.
Excelsior have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Excelsior's last 6 matches.
Excelsior have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.