The model estimates 1.71 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 2.57 for Groningen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sparta Rotterdam and 6 for Groningen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Groningen · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sparta Rotterdam is going head to head with Groningen on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 20.
Sparta Rotterdam take on Groningen in the Eredivisie on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Sparta Rotterdam are currently placed 13th in the table with 9 points, while Groningen occupy 8th position with 15 points.
Sparta Rotterdam come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Groningen have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 100 recorded meetings, Sparta Rotterdam have 38 wins against Groningen, with 30 draws.
Prediction: Groningen to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.28. Over 2.5: 80%. BTTS: 76%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Sparta Rotterdam's last 6 matches.
Sparta Rotterdam have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Sparta Rotterdam's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Groningen have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Groningen's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Groningen's last 6 matches.