The model estimates 1.09 goals for Sertanense and 1.54 for Alverca B. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sertanense and 6 for Alverca B, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alverca B · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sertanense is going head to head with Alverca B on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 13.
Sertanense take on Alverca B in the Campeonato de Portugal on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Sertanense are currently placed 46th in the table with 4 points, while Alverca B occupy 33rd position with 6 points.
Sertanense come into this match with 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alverca B have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Sertanense have 1 win against Alverca B, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Alverca B to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.63. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 54%.
SERALVSERALVSERALVSERALVSERALVSERALVSERALVSERALVSERALVSertanense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sertanense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sertanense's last 6 matches.
Alverca B have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Alverca B have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Alverca B's last 6 matches.
