The model estimates 1.51 goals for SB Castelo Branco and 1.67 for Alverca B. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for SB Castelo Branco and 6 for Alverca B, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: SB Castelo Branco · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
SB Castelo Branco is going head to head with Alverca B on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 16.
SB Castelo Branco take on Alverca B in the Campeonato de Portugal on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
SB Castelo Branco are currently placed 18th in the table with 9 points, while Alverca B occupy 33rd position with 6 points.
SB Castelo Branco come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alverca B have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, SB Castelo Branco have 2 wins against Alverca B, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Alverca B to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.17. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 65%.
SB ALVSB ALVSB ALVSB ALVSB ALVSB ALVSB ALVSB ALVSB ALVThere have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of SB Castelo Branco's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of SB Castelo Branco's last 6 matches.
SB Castelo Branco score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Alverca B have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Alverca B have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Alverca B's last 6 matches.
