The model estimates 0.77 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 0.87 for Lok. Plovdiv. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Septemvri Sofia and 6 for Lok. Plovdiv, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Draw · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Septemvri Sofia is going head to head with Lok. Plovdiv on November 21, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Parva Liga — Round 15.
Septemvri Sofia take on Lok. Plovdiv in the Parva Liga on 21 November 2026 at 19:00.
Septemvri Sofia are currently placed 14th in the table with 8 points, while Lok. Plovdiv occupy 12th position with 9 points.
Septemvri Sofia come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lok. Plovdiv have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 20 recorded meetings, Lok. Plovdiv have 9 wins against Septemvri Sofia, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Septemvri Sofia and Lok. Plovdiv to draw with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.64. Over 2.5: 23%. BTTS: 33%.




Septemvri Sofia have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Septemvri Sofia have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Septemvri Sofia's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Lok. Plovdiv's last 6 matches.
Lok. Plovdiv have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lok. Plovdiv have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.