The model estimates 1.08 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 1.13 for Spartak Varna. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Septemvri Sofia and 6 for Spartak Varna, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Septemvri Sofia · 35%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Septemvri Sofia is going head to head with Spartak Varna on February 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Parva Liga — Round 18.
Septemvri Sofia take on Spartak Varna in the Parva Liga on 13 February 2027 at 00:00.
Septemvri Sofia are currently placed 14th in the table with 8 points, while Spartak Varna occupy 7th position with 13 points.
Septemvri Sofia come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Spartak Varna have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 16 recorded meetings, Spartak Varna have 7 wins against Septemvri Sofia, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Septemvri Sofia and Spartak Varna to draw with probability 31%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.22. Over 2.5: 38%. BTTS: 47%.




Septemvri Sofia have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Septemvri Sofia have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Septemvri Sofia's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Spartak Varna's last 6 matches.
Spartak Varna have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Spartak Varna have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.