The model estimates 0.44 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 2.30 for Levski Sofia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Septemvri Sofia and 6 for Levski Sofia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Levski Sofia · 66%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Septemvri Sofia is going head to head with Levski Sofia on November 28, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Parva Liga — Round 16.
Septemvri Sofia take on Levski Sofia in the Parva Liga on 28 November 2026 at 19:00.
Septemvri Sofia are currently placed 14th in the table with 8 points, while Levski Sofia occupy 1st position with 29 points.
Septemvri Sofia come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Levski Sofia have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 14 recorded meetings, Levski Sofia have 11 wins against Septemvri Sofia, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Levski Sofia to win with probability 66%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.73. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 33%.




Septemvri Sofia have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Septemvri Sofia have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Septemvri Sofia's last 6 matches.
Levski Sofia are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Levski Sofia have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Levski Sofia have won 4 of their last 6 matches.