The model estimates 0.37 goals for Lok. Plovdiv and 1.46 for Levski Sofia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lok. Plovdiv and 6 for Levski Sofia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Levski Sofia · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lok. Plovdiv is going head to head with Levski Sofia on December 05, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Parva Liga — Round 17.
Lok. Plovdiv take on Levski Sofia in the Parva Liga on 5 December 2026 at 19:00.
Lok. Plovdiv are currently placed 12th in the table with 8 points, while Levski Sofia occupy 1st position with 28 points.
Lok. Plovdiv come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Levski Sofia have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 75 recorded meetings, Levski Sofia have 44 wins against Lok. Plovdiv, with 13 draws.
Prediction: Levski Sofia to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 1.83. Over 2.5: 28%. BTTS: 25%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Lok. Plovdiv's last 6 matches.
Lok. Plovdiv have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Lok. Plovdiv have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Levski Sofia are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Levski Sofia have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Levski Sofia have won 5 of their last 6 matches.