The model estimates 2.95 goals for CSKA-Sofia and 0.57 for Septemvri Sofia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for CSKA-Sofia and 6 for Septemvri Sofia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: CSKA-Sofia · 73%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
CSKA-Sofia is going head to head with Septemvri Sofia on December 05, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Parva Liga — Round 17.
CSKA-Sofia take on Septemvri Sofia in the Parva Liga on 5 December 2026 at 19:00.
CSKA-Sofia are currently placed 4th in the table with 24 points, while Septemvri Sofia occupy 13th position with 8 points.
CSKA-Sofia come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Septemvri Sofia have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 16 recorded meetings, CSKA-Sofia have 14 wins against Septemvri Sofia.
Prediction: CSKA-Sofia to win with probability 74%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.52. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 42%.
CSKSEPCSKSEPCSKSEPCSKSEPCSKSEPCSKSEPCSKSEPCSKSEPCSKSEPCSKA-Sofia are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, CSKA-Sofia have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of CSKA-Sofia's last 6 matches.
Septemvri Sofia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Septemvri Sofia have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Septemvri Sofia's last 6 matches.
