The model estimates 1.15 goals for Sanjoanense and 1.56 for Ovarense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sanjoanense and 6 for Ovarense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ovarense · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sanjoanense is going head to head with Ovarense on April 04, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 24.
Sanjoanense take on Ovarense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 4 April 2027 at 00:00.
Sanjoanense are currently placed 20th in the table with 12 points, while Ovarense occupy 1st position with 22 points.
Sanjoanense come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ovarense have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Ovarense to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.71. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 55%.




In their last 6 matches, Sanjoanense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Sanjoanense's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sanjoanense's last 6 home matches.
Ovarense are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ovarense have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Ovarense have won 5 of their last 6 matches.