The model estimates 0.92 goals for Florgrade and 1.39 for Ovarense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Florgrade and 6 for Ovarense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ovarense · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Florgrade is going head to head with Ovarense on November 08, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 8.
Florgrade take on Ovarense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 8 November 2026 at 18:00.
Florgrade are currently placed 15th in the table with 10 points, while Ovarense occupy 1st position with 16 points.
Florgrade come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ovarense have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Ovarense to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.31. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 47%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Florgrade's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Florgrade have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Florgrade have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Ovarense are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ovarense have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Ovarense have won 5 of their last 6 matches.