The model estimates 1.31 goals for Rio Ave and 1.94 for Marítimo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Rio Ave and 6 for Marítimo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Marítimo · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Rio Ave is going head to head with Marítimo on April 25, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 31.
Rio Ave take on Marítimo in the Primeira Liga on 25 April 2027 at 00:00.
Rio Ave are currently placed 17th in the table with 7 points, while Marítimo occupy 14th position with 8 points.
Rio Ave come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Marítimo have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 54 recorded meetings, Marítimo have 21 wins against Rio Ave, with 18 draws.
Prediction: Marítimo to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.25. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 64%.




Rio Ave have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Rio Ave's last 6 matches.
Rio Ave have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Marítimo have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Marítimo have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Marítimo's last 6 matches.