The model estimates 1.90 goals for Moreirense and 1.04 for Rio Ave. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Moreirense and 6 for Rio Ave, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Moreirense · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Moreirense is going head to head with Rio Ave on May 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 34.
Moreirense take on Rio Ave in the Primeira Liga on 16 May 2027 at 00:00.
Moreirense are currently placed 9th in the table with 14 points, while Rio Ave occupy 17th position with 7 points.
Moreirense come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Rio Ave have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Moreirense to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.94. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 56%.




In their last 6 matches, Moreirense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Moreirense's last 6 matches.
Moreirense score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Rio Ave have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Rio Ave have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Rio Ave's last 6 matches.