The model estimates 1.76 goals for Marítimo and 1.77 for Estrela Amadora. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Marítimo and 6 for Estrela Amadora, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Marítimo · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Marítimo is going head to head with Estrela Amadora on May 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 32.
Marítimo take on Estrela Amadora in the Primeira Liga on 2 May 2027 at 00:00.
Marítimo are currently placed 14th in the table with 8 points, while Estrela Amadora occupy 12th position with 10 points.
Marítimo come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Estrela Amadora have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 34 recorded meetings, Marítimo have 11 wins against Estrela Amadora, with 17 draws.
Prediction: Marítimo to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.53. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 70%.
MARESTMARESTMARESTMARESTMARESTMARESTMARESTMARESTMARESTMarítimo have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Marítimo have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Marítimo's last 6 matches.
Estrela Amadora have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Estrela Amadora concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Estrela Amadora's last 6 away matches.
