The model estimates 0.84 goals for Rio Ave and 1.95 for Vitoria Guimaraes. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Rio Ave and 6 for Vitoria Guimaraes, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Vitoria Guimaraes · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Rio Ave is going head to head with Vitoria Guimaraes on May 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 33.
Rio Ave take on Vitoria Guimaraes in the Primeira Liga on 9 May 2027 at 00:00.
Rio Ave are currently placed 17th in the table with 7 points, while Vitoria Guimaraes occupy 13th position with 8 points.
Rio Ave come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Vitoria Guimaraes have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Vitoria Guimaraes to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.79. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 50%.




Rio Ave have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Rio Ave's last 6 matches.
Rio Ave have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Vitoria Guimaraes have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Vitoria Guimaraes's last 6 matches.
Vitoria Guimaraes have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches.