The model estimates 4.03 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.23 for Lyon. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Real Sociedad and 6 for Lyon, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Real Sociedad · 75%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Real Sociedad is going head to head with Lyon on November 05, 2026 at 17:45. This match is part of UEFA Europa League — Round 4.
Real Sociedad take on Lyon in the UEFA Europa League on 5 November 2026 at 17:45.
Real Sociedad are currently placed 14th in the table with 4 points, while Lyon occupy 12th position with 6 points.
Real Sociedad come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lyon have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Real Sociedad to win with probability 75%. Most likely scoreline: 4-1. Avg goals: 5.26. Over 2.5: 89%. BTTS: 70%.


Real Sociedad have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Real Sociedad's last 6 matches.
Real Sociedad score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lyon have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.