The model estimates 2.00 goals for Jagiellonia and 2.85 for Lyon. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jagiellonia and 6 for Lyon, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lyon · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jagiellonia is going head to head with Lyon on January 20, 2027 at 21:00. This match is part of UEFA Europa League — Round 7.
Jagiellonia take on Lyon in the UEFA Europa League on 20 January 2027 at 21:00.
Jagiellonia are currently placed 27th in the table with 3 points, while Lyon occupy 12th position with 6 points.
Jagiellonia come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lyon have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Lyon to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.84. Over 2.5: 86%. BTTS: 82%.




Jagiellonia have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Jagiellonia have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Jagiellonia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lyon have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.