European FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sEuropean FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sThe model estimates 3.23 goals for RB Leipzig and 1.46 for Mainz. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for RB Leipzig and 6 for Mainz, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: RB Leipzig · 65%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
RB Leipzig is going head to head with Mainz on December 05, 2026 at 14:30. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 12.
RB Leipzig take on Mainz in the Bundesliga on 5 December 2026 at 14:30.
RB Leipzig are currently placed 5th in the table with 12 points, while Mainz occupy 7th position with 10 points.
RB Leipzig come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mainz have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 20 recorded meetings, RB Leipzig have 9 wins against Mainz, with 4 draws.
Prediction: RB Leipzig to win with probability 65%. Most likely scoreline: 3-1. Avg goals: 4.68. Over 2.5: 85%. BTTS: 74%.
RB MAIRB MAIRB MAIRB MAIRB MAIRB MAIRB MAIRB MAIRB MAIThere have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of RB Leipzig's last 6 matches.
RB Leipzig have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
RB Leipzig have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Mainz score an average of 2.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
