European FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sEuropean FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sThe model estimates 2.20 goals for Mainz and 1.98 for Freiburg. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mainz and 6 for Freiburg, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mainz · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mainz is going head to head with Freiburg on December 12, 2026 at 14:30. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 13.
Mainz take on Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 12 December 2026 at 14:30.
Mainz are currently placed 7th in the table with 10 points, while Freiburg occupy 3rd position with 13 points.
Mainz come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Freiburg have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 50 recorded meetings, Freiburg have 18 wins against Mainz, with 16 draws.
Prediction: Mainz to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.18. Over 2.5: 79%. BTTS: 77%.
MAIFREMAIFREMAIFREMAIFREMAIFREMAIFREMAIFREMAIFREMAIFREThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Mainz score an average of 2.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Freiburg have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
