The model estimates 1.32 goals for Köln and 2.10 for RB Leipzig. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Köln and 6 for RB Leipzig, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: RB Leipzig · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Köln is going head to head with RB Leipzig on December 12, 2026 at 14:30. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 13.
Köln take on RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on 12 December 2026 at 14:30.
Köln are currently placed 13th in the table with 8 points, while RB Leipzig occupy 5th position with 12 points.
Köln come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas RB Leipzig have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 16 recorded meetings, RB Leipzig have 9 wins against Köln, with 5 draws.
Prediction: RB Leipzig to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.42. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 66%.




Köln have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Köln's last 6 matches.
Köln concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of RB Leipzig's last 6 matches.
RB Leipzig have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
RB Leipzig have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.