The model estimates 2.64 goals for Mainz and 1.24 for Köln. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mainz and 6 for Köln, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mainz · 64%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mainz is going head to head with Köln on December 19, 2026 at 17:30. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 14.
Mainz take on Köln in the Bundesliga on 19 December 2026 at 17:30.
Mainz are currently placed 7th in the table with 10 points, while Köln occupy 13th position with 8 points.
Mainz come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Köln have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 39 recorded meetings, Mainz have 13 wins against Köln, with 13 draws.
Prediction: Mainz to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.88. Over 2.5: 74%. BTTS: 67%.
MAIKÖLMAIKÖLMAIKÖLMAIKÖLMAIKÖLMAIKÖLMAIKÖLMAIKÖLMAIKÖLThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Mainz score an average of 2.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Köln have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Köln's last 6 matches.
Köln concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
