The model estimates 1.01 goals for PSV and 1.47 for Atl. Madrid. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for PSV and 6 for Atl. Madrid, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Atl. Madrid · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
PSV is going head to head with Atl. Madrid on December 09, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of UEFA Champions League — Round 6.
PSV take on Atl. Madrid in the UEFA Champions League on 9 December 2026 at 20:00.
PSV are currently placed 18th in the table with 4 points, while Atl. Madrid occupy 16th position with 4 points.
PSV come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Atl. Madrid have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Atl. Madrid have 1 win against PSV.
Prediction: Atl. Madrid to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.48. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 51%.




PSV have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of PSV's last 6 matches.
PSV are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated home matches.
Atl. Madrid are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Atl. Madrid have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Atl. Madrid have won 5 of their last 6 matches.