The model estimates 2.00 goals for Atl. Madrid and 0.69 for Valencia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Atl. Madrid and 6 for Valencia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Atl. Madrid · 62%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Atl. Madrid is going head to head with Valencia on December 13, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 16.
Atl. Madrid take on Valencia in the LaLiga on 13 December 2026 at 19:00.
Atl. Madrid are currently placed 2nd in the table with 25 points, while Valencia occupy 19th position with 6 points.
Atl. Madrid come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Valencia have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Atl. Madrid have 2 wins against Valencia.
Prediction: Atl. Madrid to win with probability 62%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.68. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 44%.




Atl. Madrid are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Atl. Madrid have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Atl. Madrid have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Valencia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Valencia have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Valencia's last 6 away matches.