The model estimates 0.96 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.09 for Atl. Madrid. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Celta Vigo and 6 for Atl. Madrid, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Celta Vigo · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Celta Vigo is going head to head with Atl. Madrid on December 20, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 17.
Celta Vigo take on Atl. Madrid in the LaLiga on 20 December 2026 at 19:00.
Celta Vigo are currently placed 9th in the table with 12 points, while Atl. Madrid occupy 2nd position with 25 points.
Celta Vigo come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Atl. Madrid have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Celta Vigo have 1 win against Atl. Madrid, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Celta Vigo and Atl. Madrid to draw with probability 31%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.05. Over 2.5: 34%. BTTS: 43%.
CELATLCELATLCELATLCELATLCELATLCELATLCELATLCELATLCELATLIn their last 6 matches, Celta Vigo have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Celta Vigo's last 6 matches.
Celta Vigo have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Atl. Madrid are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Atl. Madrid have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Atl. Madrid have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
